Protestas, revueltas y revoluciones en perspectiva histórica

Jordi Domènech

##plugins.themes.bootstrap3.article.main##

Publicado: jun 27, 2024
Resumen

Este artículo analiza los determinantes de las revueltas y protestas sociales a muy largo plazo. Dado los altos costes de la acción colectiva en las sociedades autoritarias (la forma de organización política más dominante a lo largo de la historia), la protesta solo tendió a activarse en coyunturas muy específicas asociadas con procesos de deterioro institucional que, a su vez, podían estar asociados a subidas de impuestos e inflación de los precios de bienes esenciales. Así como el desarrollo ha eliminado las crisis de subsistencia, las democracias consolidadas han encontrado maneras de canalizar el conflicto a través del despliegue de instituciones más transparentes, justas y menos corruptas. Estas instituciones descansan sobre un mayor grado de consenso social y han desarrollado mecanismos de concertación que canalizan el conflicto hacia la mesa de negociación.

##plugins.themes.bootstrap3.article.details##

Palabras clave:
movimientos sociales, revoluciones, instituciones, acción colectiva, ciclos maltusianos
Citas

Adena, M., Enikopolov, R., Petrova, M.ª, Santarosa, V., & Zhuravskaya, E. (2015). Radio and the Rise of the Nazis in Prewar Germany. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 130(4), 1885-1939.

Aidt, T., Leon-Ablan, G., & Satchell, M. (2022). The Social Dynamics of Collective Action: Evidence from the Diffusion of the Swing Riots, 1830–1831. Journal of Politics, 84(1), 209-225.

Allen, R. C. (2011). Global Economic History: A Very Short Introduction. Oxford University Press.

Allen, R. C. (2017). Absolute Poverty: When Necessity Displaces Desire. American Economic Review, 107(12), 3690-3721.

Alsan, M., & Wanamaker, M. (2018). Tuskegee and the Health of Black Men. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 133(1), 407-455.

Anderson, R. W., Johnson, N. D., & Koyama, M. (2017). Jewish Persecutions and Weather Shocks, 1100–1800. Economic Journal, 127(602), 924-958.

Baysan, C., Burke, M., González, F., Hsiang, S., & Miguel, E. (2019). Non-Economic Factors in Violence: Evidence from Organized Crime, Suicides and Climate in Mexico. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 168, 434-452.

Bellemare, M. F. (2015). Rising Food Prices, Food Price Volatility, and Social Unrest. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 97(1), 1-21.

Bohstedt, J. (2010). The Politics of Provisions. Food Riots, Moral Economy, and Market Transition in England, c. 1550–1850. Routledge.

Boyer, G. R. (2018). The Winding Road to the Welfare State. Economic Insecurity and Social Welfare Policy in Britain. Princeton University Press.

Burke, M. B., Miguel, E., Satyanath, S., Dykema, J. A., & Lobell, D. B. (2009). Warming Increases the Risk of Civil War in Africa. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 106(49), 20670-20674.

Caprettini, B., & Voth, H.-J. (2020). Rage against the Machines: Labor-Saving Technology and Unrest in Industrializing England. American Economic Review: Insights, 2(3), 305-320.

Chambru, C., & Maneuvrier-Hervieu, P. (2024). Introducing HiSCoD: A New Gateway for the Study of Social Conflict. American Political Science Review, 118(2), 1084-1091. https://doi.org/10.1017/S000305542300076X

Ciccone, A. (2011). Economic Shocks and Civil Conflict: A Comment. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 3(4), 215-227.

Clark, G. (2009). A Farewell to Alms. A Brief Economic History of the World. Princeton University Press.

Clarke, K., & Kocak, K. (2020). Launching Revolution: Social Media and the Egyptian Uprising's First Movers. British Journal of Political Science, 50(3), 1025-1045.

De Vries, J. (2019). The Price of Bread. Regulating the Market in the Dutch Republic. Cambridge University Press.

Deaton, A. (2015). The Great Escape: Health, Wealth, and the Origins of Inequality. Princeton University Press.

Enikolopov, R., Makarin, A., & Petrova, M.ª (2020). Social Media and Protest Participation: Evidence from Russia. Econometrica, 88(4), 1479-1514.

Enikolopov, R., Petrova, M.ª, & Zhuravskaya, E. (2011). Media and Political Persuasion: Evidence from Russia. American Economic Review, 101(7), 3253-3285.

Galbraith, J. K. (1999). The Affluent Society. Penguin.

Goldstone, J. A. (1980). Theories of Revolution: The Third Generation. World Politics, 32(3), 425-453.

Goldstone, J. A. (2001). Toward a Fourth Generation of Revolutionary Theory. Annual Review of Political Science, 4(1), 139-187.

Goldstone, J. A. (2009). Rethinking Revolutions: Integrating Origins, Processes, and Outcomes. Comparative Studies of South Asia, Africa, and the Middle East, 29(1), 18-32.

Goldstone, J. A. (2016). Revolution and Rebellion in the Early Modern World: Population Change and State Breakdown in England, France, Turkey, and China, 1600-1850. Routledge.

Goldstone, J. A. (2023). Revolutions: A Very Short Introduction. Second Edition. Oxford University Press.

Goldstone, J. A., Gurr, T. R., Marshall, M. G., & Ulfelder, J. (2004). It's all about State Structure: New Findings on Revolutionary Origins from Global Data. Homo Oeconomicus, 21(3), 429-455.

Goldstone, J. A., & Useem, B. (1999). Prison Riots as Microrevolutions: An Extension of State-Centered Theories of Revolution. American Journal of Sociology, 104(4), 985-1029.

Goodwin, J. (1994a). Toward a New Sociology of Revolutions. Theory and Society, 23(6), 731-766.

Goodwin, J. (1994b). Old Regimes and Revolutions in the Second and Third Worlds: A Comparative Perspective. Social Science History, 18(4), 575-604.

Goodwin, J. (1997). State-Centered Approaches to Social Revolutions: Strengths and Limitations of a Theoretical Tradition. In J. Foran (Ed.), Theorizing Revolutions (pp. 11-37). Routledge.

Goodwin, J. (2001). No Other Way Out: States and Revolutionary Movements, 1945-1991. Cambridge University Press.

Hirschman, A. O. (1990). Exit, voice, and loyalty. Responses to Decline in Firms, Organizations, and States. Harvard University Press.

Hobsbawm, E., & Rudé, G. (1968). Captain Swing. Lawrence and Wishart.

Humphries, J. (2024). Careworn: The Economic History of Caring Labor. Journal of Economic History, 84(2), 319-351.

Levi, M. (1997). Consent, Dissent, and Patriotism. Cambridge University Press.

Manacorda, M., & Tesei, A. (2020). Liberation Technology: Mobile Phones and Political Mobilization in Africa. Econometrica, 88(2), 533-567.

Markoff, J. (1995). Violence, Emancipation and Democracy: The Countryside and the French Revolution. American Historical Review, 100(2), 360-386.

Markoff, J. (1997). Peasants Help Destroy an Old Regime and Defy a New One: Some Lessons from (and for) the Study of Social Movements. American Journal of Sociology, 102(4), 1113-1142.

Miguel, E., Satyanath, S., & Sergenti, E. (2004). Economic Shocks and Civil Conflict: An Instrumental Variables Approach. Journal of Political Economy, 112(4), 725-753.

Milanovic, B. (2016). Global Inequality: A New Approach for the Age of Globalization. Belknap Press.

Mokyr, J., Vickers, C., & Ziebarth, N. L. (2015). The History of Technological Anxiety and the Future of Economic Growth: Is This Time Different? Journal of Economic Perspectives, 29(3), 31-50.

Molinder, J., Karlsson, T., & Enflo, K. (2021). More Power to the People: Electricity Adoption, Technological Change, and Labor Conflict. Journal of Economic History, 81(2), 481-512.

Ochola, E. A. (2023). Vaccine Hesitancy in Sub-Saharan Africa in the Context of COVID-19 Vaccination Exercise: A Systematic Review. Diseases, 11(1), 32.

Olson, M. (1965). The Logic of Collective Action. Public Goods and the Theory of Groups. Harvard University Press.

Oster, E. (2004). Wichtcraft, Weather and Economic Growth in Renaissance Europe. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 18(1), 215-228.

Prados de la Escosura, L. (2022). Human Development and the Path to Freedom. Cambridge University Press.

Raff, D. M. G. (1988). Wage Determination Theory and the Five-Dollar Day at Ford. Journal of Economic History, 48(2), 387-399.

Rodríguez, L. (1973). The Spanish Riots of 1766. Past & Present, 59(1), 117-146.

Rodríguez-Pose, A., Terrero-Dávila, J., & Lee, N. (2023). Left-behind versus unequal places: interpersonal inequality, economic decline, and the rise of populism in the US and Europe. Journal of Economic Geography, 23(5), 951-977.

Scott, J. C. (2009). The Art of not being Governed: an Anarchist History of Upland Asia. Yale University Press.

Skocpol, T. (1979). States and Social Revolutions: A Comparative Analysis of France, Russia, and China. Cambridge University Press.

Turchin, P. (2016). Ages of Discord: A Structural-Demographic Analysis of American History. Beresta.

Turchin, P. (2023). End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites and the Path of Political Disintegration. Allen Lane.

Useem, B., & Goldstone, J. A. (2002). Forging Social Order and Its Breakdown: Riot and Reform in U.S. Prisons. American Sociological Review, 67(4), 499-525.

Yanigazawa-Drott, D. (2014). Propaganda and Conflict: Evidence from the Rwandan Genocide. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 129(4), 1947-1994.

Zhuravskaya, E., Petrova, M.ª, & Enikolopov, R. (2020). Political Effects of the Internet and Social Media. Annual Review of Economics, 12(1), 415-438.